Sunday sees 2008 winner Jo-Wilfried Tsonga take on 17-time ATP Masters 1000 champion Roger Federer in their fifth meeting of the season in what will be the Bercy final that all French fans have been dreaming of.

Roger Federer (SUI, 3) versus Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA, 6)

Head-to-head: Federer leads 5-3, 3-2 this year (4-2 on hard courts, 2-1 on hard courts this year)

Previous meetings here: none

Most recent clash between the two: Federer def. Tsonga 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 (US Open, August 2011)

Why Federer will win: Because he has a date with destiny, and the tennis to back him up. After winning only one title all year, he won in Basle and is gunning for some more silverware here. When he steps on court, he will become the first player to feature in the final of every ATP Masters 1000 event. And having bagged his 800thwin on the ATP circuit earlier in the week, he is still enjoying his tennis. And because if anyone can adapt to slower courts and heavier balls, Roger can.

Why Tsonga will win:The crowd. Worth a game per set to any Frenchman. And this Frenchman knows how to surf on their support and win a tournament, as he did here in 2008. When push came to shove last year, the 14,502 red, white and blue partisans roared Gael Monfils past Roger Federer in the semis despite match-points in favour of the Swiss, and given the opportunity they will do just that on Sunday.